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Tigers FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Jerrabomberra Regional Sports Complex, Jerrabomberra
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Sub
Hammond A. In: Waraga A.
Out: Hammond A.
67' Event
Di Pizio M.
Assist: Borrello B.
68'
Sub
Owusu D. In: Bangura A.
Out: Owusu D.

AI Match Summary

Western Sydney Wanderers in this Australia Cup tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tigers FC
6%
Draws
4%
Western Sydney Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tigers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tigers FC lately — more wins on the board than Western Sydney Wanderers.
  • Tigers FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tigers FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Western Sydney Wanderers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tigers FC Clean Sheet 20%
Western Sydney Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigers FC Western Sydney Wanderers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Australia Cup
Tigers FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigers FC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Western Sydney Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Pizio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borrello B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigers FC 85 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigers FC Western Sydney Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigers FC scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Western Sydney Wanderers has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tigers FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigers FC VS Western Sydney Wanderers
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigers FC

(Home)
25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1
Tuggeranong United
22 Jul
Tigers FC
0 : 2
Western Sydney Wanderers
11 Jul
Tigers FC
2 : 2
Queanbeyan City
04 Jul
Canberra White Eagles
0 : 2
Tigers FC
27 Jun
Monaro Panthers
2 : 0
Tigers FC
Page 1 of 6

Western Sydney Wanderers

(Away)
22 Jul
Tigers FC
0 : 2
Western Sydney Wanderers
25 Apr
Western Sydney Wanderers
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
11 Apr
Western Sydney Wanderers
0 : 2
Sydney FC
04 Apr
Melbourne City
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tigers FC0
Western Sydney Wanderers2
Kingborough Lions0
Melbourne Victory4
Azzurri United0
Macarthur FC3
APIA Leichhardt2
Peninsula1
South Melbourne-
Adelaide Utd-
Marlin Coast0
Brunswick Juventus4
Rochedale1
SD Raiders2
Weston Workers Bears0
Melbourne City3
Bayswater1
Sydney FC5
Maitland1
Fremantle City2
Queensland Lions2
Perth Glory1
Cumberland United0
Heidelberg Utd3
Sydney Utd2
Central Coast1
FK Beograd2
North Sunshine Eagles3
Preston Lions3
Newcastle Jets2
Sydney Olympic-
Brisbane Roar-
1/8-finals
TBD-
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Quarter-finals
TBD-
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Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-