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Tigre 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Tigre 2 Logo

Tigre 2

1 - 3
FT
Sarmiento Junin 2 Logo

Sarmiento Junin 2

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
San Juan A.
18' Event
San Juan A.
40' Event
Airala T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Tigre 2 and Sarmiento Junin 2 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarmiento Junin 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tigre 2
35%
Draws
39%
Sarmiento Junin 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sarmiento Junin 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarmiento Junin 2 come out ahead of Tigre 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sarmiento Junin 2 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Tigre 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Sarmiento Junin 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigre 2 Sarmiento Junin 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Reserve League
Tigre 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
1:3
Oct 22, 2024 Reserve League
Tigre 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
1:1
May 22, 2024 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Tigre 2
0:1
Aug 16, 2023 Reserve League
Tigre 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
1:0
Apr 10, 2023 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs Tigre 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigre 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Airala T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sarmiento Junin 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer San Juan A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Caviglia B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigre 2 23 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 2 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigre 2 Sarmiento Junin 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarmiento Junin 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigre 2 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Sarmiento Junin 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tigre 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigre 2 VS Sarmiento Junin 2
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigre 2

(Home)
23 Sept
Defensa y Justicia 2
2 : 1
Tigre 2
16 Sept
Union de Santa Fe 2
5 : 1
Tigre 2
10 Sept
Tigre 2
2 : 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
02 Sept
Godoy Cruz 2
2 : 2
Tigre 2
27 Aug
Tigre 2
1 : 3
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Page 1 of 6

Sarmiento Junin 2

(Away)
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
15 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Racing Club 2
09 Sept
Instituto 2
2 : 2
Sarmiento Junin 2
01 Sept
Argentinos Jrs 2
1 : 1
Sarmiento Junin 2
25 Aug
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 0
Aldosivi 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)