Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio José Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires

Tigre

2 - 0

Alianza Atl.

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Garay M. In: Moreno V.

Out: Garay M.

37'

Quiroga S.

45'

Suarez R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Tigre

15%

Draws

64%

Alianza Atl.

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Alianza Atl. have won more games recently than Tigre.
64% — that's where the model lands on Alianza Atl. taking it.
Alianza Atl. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Tigre, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Tigre Clean Sheet 16%

Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tigre	Alianza Atl.
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	6	14
Draws	11	6
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.9	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Tigre vs Alianza Atl.

2:0

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Alianza Atl. vs Tigre

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigre Compare

Top Goalscorer Saralegui J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Barrionuevo A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

Alianza Atl. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigre 23 / 100

Alianza Atl. 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tigre Alianza Atl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tigre found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Tigre remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tigre VS Alianza Atl.

0.63 Goals Scored 2.13

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

38% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigre

(Home)

21 Sept

Velez Sarsfield

3 : 2

Tigre

13 Sept

Tigre

0 : 1

Rosario Central

05 Sept

Gimnasia L.P.

2 : 1

Tigre

01 Sept

Tigre

0 : 0

Barracas Central

24 Aug

Tigre

2 : 1

Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)

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Alianza Atl.

(Away)

18 Sept

Alianza Atl.

2 : 1

Comerciantes Unidos

13 Sept

Atletico Grau

3 : 1

Alianza Atl.

04 Sept

Alianza Atl.

3 : 2

Cajamarca

30 Aug

Moquegua

1 : 4

Alianza Atl.

25 Aug

Alianza Atl.

2 : 1

Cajamarca

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