Sport Picks
Tigre vs Montevideo City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South America
Copa Sudamericana Estadio José Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Moreno V. In: Soto G.
Out: Moreno V.
53'
53'
Pizzichillo F.
Assist: Busquets E.
65'
65'
Sub
Oviedo A. In: Subiabre I.
Out: Oviedo A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montevideo City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Montevideo City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Montevideo City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Montevideo City, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Tigre Clean Sheet 68%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tigre | Montevideo City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.05 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Montevideo City vs Tigre
2:1
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Tigre vs Montevideo City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tigre Compare
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.53
Montevideo City Compare
Top Goalscorer Pizzichillo F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tigre 42 / 100
Montevideo City 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tigre Montevideo City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tigre found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Montevideo City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Montevideo City has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tigre VS Montevideo City
0.86 Goals Scored 1.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tigre
(Home) 17 Oct
Ind. Rivadavia
2 : 2 Tigre
10 Oct
Tigre
1 : 2 Banfield
04 Oct
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1 Tigre
21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2 Tigre
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1 Rosario Central
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Tigre
1 : 2 Banfield
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1 Rosario Central
01 Sept
Tigre
0 : 0 Barracas Central
24 Aug
Tigre
2 : 1 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
12 Aug
Tigre
0 : 1 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 3
Montevideo City
(Away) 21 Oct
Montevideo City
2 : 0 Atletico-MG
18 Oct
Albion
2 : 1 Montevideo City
14 Oct
Atletico-MG
3 : 0 Montevideo City
09 Oct
Montevideo City
1 : 0 Danubio
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Albion
2 : 1 Montevideo City
14 Oct
Atletico-MG
3 : 0 Montevideo City
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0 Montevideo City
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4 Montevideo City
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
1/8-finals
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Quarter-finals
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Semi-finals
Atletico-MG 3
Montevideo City 2
Boca Juniors 3
Vasco 2
Final
Atletico-MG -
Boca Juniors -
