Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tigre vs Rosario Central

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio José Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Mendez M.
44'
Lopez S.
60' Event
Di Maria A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Rosario Central in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rosario Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tigre
30%
Draws
47%
Rosario Central
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Rosario Central have won more games recently than Tigre.
  • Win probability leans Tigre's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tigre Clean Sheet 68%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigre Rosario Central
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.16
Goals Conceded 1 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Profesional
Tigre vs Rosario Central
0:1
May 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Tigre
1:1
May 21, 2024 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Tigre
1:1
Feb 3, 2023 Liga Profesional
Tigre vs Rosario Central
2:2
Aug 8, 2022 Liga Profesional
Tigre vs Rosario Central
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigre 46 / 100
Rosario Central 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigre Rosario Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigre found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Rosario Central let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Tigre stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigre VS Rosario Central
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigre

(Home)
21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2
Tigre
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1
Tigre
01 Sept
Tigre
0 : 0
Barracas Central
24 Aug
Tigre
2 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
Page 1 of 6

Rosario Central

(Away)
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
25 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 2
Rosario Central
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)