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Tigres de Alica vs Leones Negros 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Tigres de Alica Logo

Tigres de Alica

1 - 0
FT
Leones Negros 2 Logo

Leones Negros 2

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Chacon Guzman E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Tigres de Alica and Leones Negros 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres de Alica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Tigres de Alica
20%
Draws
42%
Leones Negros 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leones Negros 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Leones Negros 2 have managed 1.47 goals a game lately — Tigres de Alica are scoring more at 1.76.
  • Model gives Tigres de Alica a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 68%
Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres de Alica Leones Negros 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 5 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs Leones Negros 2
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Tigres de Alica
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Tigres de Alica
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs Leones Negros 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres de Alica Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon Guzman E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Leones Negros 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres de Alica 68 / 100
Leones Negros 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres de Alica Leones Negros 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres de Alica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres de Alica scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Leones Negros 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Tigres de Alica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigres de Alica VS Leones Negros 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.17
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres de Alica

(Home)
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
29 Aug
Tigres de Alica
3 : 1
Zacatepec
Page 1 of 6

Leones Negros 2

(Away)
18 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 2
Celaya
16 Apr
Celaya
5 : 0
Leones Negros 2
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
21 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1
Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)