Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Match Events

24'

Chacon Guzman E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tigres de Alica host Leones Negros 2 in the Liga Premier Serie A. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Tigres de Alica have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Leones Negros 2's 1.88 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Tigres de Alica have won 2 to Leones Negros 2's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.50, favoring Tigres de Alica. Tigres de Alica in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Tigres de Alica

Draws

Leones Negros 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tigres de Alica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tigres de Alica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Leones Negros 2.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tigres de Alica.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Premier Serie A provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 68%

Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tigres de Alica	Leones Negros 2
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	20	17
Draws	3	2
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.75	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs Leones Negros 2

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Aug 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Leones Negros 2 vs Tigres de Alica

Possession: 60% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Mar 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Leones Negros 2 vs Tigres de Alica

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 2, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs Leones Negros 2

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres de Alica Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon Guzman E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Leones Negros 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres de Alica 95 / 100

Leones Negros 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tigres de Alica Leones Negros 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres de Alica scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Leones Negros 2 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Tigres de Alica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Leones Negros 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres de Alica VS Leones Negros 2

1.75 Goals Scored 1.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17