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Tigres de Alica vs Reboceros de La Piedad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tigres de Alica host Reboceros de La Piedad in the Primera Premier. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Reboceros de La Piedad have shipped 2.34 goals a game lately, while Tigres de Alica have conceded 1 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Tigres de Alica have won 2 to Reboceros de La Piedad's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.50, favoring Tigres de Alica. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Tigres de Alica
20%
Draws
48%
Reboceros de La Piedad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reboceros de La Piedad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres de Alica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 16%
Reboceros de La Piedad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres de Alica Reboceros de La Piedad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.79 1.69
Goals Conceded 1 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs Reboceros de La Piedad
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Reboceros de La Piedad vs Tigres de Alica
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres de Alica 31 / 100
Reboceros de La Piedad 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres de Alica Reboceros de La Piedad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reboceros de La Piedad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres de Alica found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Reboceros de La Piedad conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tigres de Alica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tigres de Alica VS Reboceros de La Piedad
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres de Alica

(Home)
04 Oct
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0
Purepechas
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
Page 1 of 6

Reboceros de La Piedad

(Away)
03 Oct
Zacatepec
2 : 3
Reboceros de La Piedad
22 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3
Irapuato
12 Sept
Cordobes FC
1 : 2
Reboceros de La Piedad
05 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
3 : 0
Purepechas
28 Aug
Tritones Vallarta
0 : 1
Reboceros de La Piedad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 5 5 0 0 13:4 16
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 5 4 0 1 10:6 11
3 Tigres de Alica 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
4 Zacatepec 6 3 1 2 8:7 11
5 Los Cabos United 6 3 0 3 6:7 9
6 Cordobes FC 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
7 Lobos ULMX 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
8 Tritones Vallarta 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
9 Purepechas 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 5 3 2 0 16:6 13
2 Pioneros 5 4 0 1 14:6 13
3 Celaya 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 5 2 1 2 5:5 8
5 Deportiva Venados 5 1 2 2 9:9 6
6 Montaneses 6 2 1 3 9:12 6
7 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
9 Tapachula 5 1 0 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)