Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

UA Zacatecas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tigres de Alica play UA Zacatecas in the Liga Premier Serie A. Tigres de Alica are favorites here. Recently, Tigres de Alica averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. UA Zacatecas averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Tigres de Alica won 3, UA Zacatecas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Tigres de Alica and 1.25 for UA Zacatecas. This points to a Tigres de Alica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Tigres de Alica

15%

Draws

25%

UA Zacatecas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tigres de Alica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Tigres de Alica picked up more points recently compared to UA Zacatecas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 19%

UA Zacatecas Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tigres de Alica	UA Zacatecas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	20	9
Draws	3	4
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	1.73	1.2
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs UA Zacatecas

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Nov 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

UA Zacatecas vs Tigres de Alica

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 4 - 4

1:4

Jan 26, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

UA Zacatecas vs Tigres de Alica

Possession: 60% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

3:2

Sep 21, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs UA Zacatecas

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres de Alica 58 / 100

UA Zacatecas 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tigres de Alica UA Zacatecas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres de Alica Win (1)

Secondary Pick Tigres de Alica & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tigres de Alica attacking → ← attacking UA Zacatecas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres de Alica scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

UA Zacatecas let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Tigres de Alica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

UA Zacatecas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 31

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17