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Tigres de Alica vs UA Zacatecas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Tigres de Alica Logo

Tigres de Alica

3 - 2
FT
UA Zacatecas Logo

UA Zacatecas

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
45' Event
69' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Tigres de Alica and UA Zacatecas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres de Alica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tigres de Alica
30%
Draws
33%
UA Zacatecas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tigres de Alica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tigres de Alica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tigres de Alica's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tigres de Alica here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 16%
UA Zacatecas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres de Alica UA Zacatecas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.89 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs UA Zacatecas
3:2
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Tigres de Alica
1:4
Jan 26, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Tigres de Alica
3:2
Sep 21, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs UA Zacatecas
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres de Alica 39 / 100
UA Zacatecas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres de Alica UA Zacatecas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres de Alica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres de Alica scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

UA Zacatecas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Tigres de Alica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres de Alica VS UA Zacatecas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.71
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres de Alica

(Home)
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
29 Aug
Tigres de Alica
3 : 1
Zacatepec
Page 1 of 6

UA Zacatecas

(Away)
11 Apr
UA Zacatecas
4 : 1
Ensenada FC
29 Mar
Tigres de Alica
3 : 2
UA Zacatecas
22 Mar
Zapotlanejo
4 : 2
UA Zacatecas
18 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 0
Tecos
14 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)