Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica

5 - 1

Zapotlanejo

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Loera K.

47'

Barragan J.

57'

Rodriguez D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Tigres de Alica and Zapotlanejo finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres de Alica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Tigres de Alica

Draws

Zapotlanejo

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tigres de Alica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tigres de Alica carry the better recent record into this one.
Tigres de Alica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%

Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 68%

Zapotlanejo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tigres de Alica	Zapotlanejo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	20	7
Draws	3	2
Losses	7	21
Goals Scored	2.13	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs Zapotlanejo

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

5:1

Sep 21, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Zapotlanejo vs Tigres de Alica

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres de Alica Compare

Top Goalscorer Loera K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Barragan J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Zapotlanejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres de Alica 95 / 100

Zapotlanejo 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tigres de Alica Zapotlanejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tigres de Alica scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Zapotlanejo let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Tigres de Alica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigres de Alica VS Zapotlanejo

2.13 Goals Scored 2.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17