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Tigres Futbol Club vs Envigado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Marulanda M.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Ibarra C.
46'
Sub
Palacios J. In: Nieva J.
Out: Palacios J.

AI Match Summary

Tigres Futbol Club in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tigres Futbol Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tigres Futbol Club
35%
Draws
28%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres Futbol Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tigres Futbol Club have won more games recently than Envigado.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 68%
Envigado Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres Futbol Club Envigado
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Envigado
2:1
May 14, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Envigado
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
2:0
Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:0
Mar 29, 2023 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibarra C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rativa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Envigado Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres Futbol Club 41 / 100
Envigado 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres Futbol Club Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres Futbol Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Tigres Futbol Club stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tigres Futbol Club found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Envigado conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tigres Futbol Club VS Envigado
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres Futbol Club

(Home)
08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1
Tigres Futbol Club
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0
Inter Palmira
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
Page 1 of 6

Envigado

(Away)
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3
Envigado
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 12 5 3 4 17:17 18
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Bogota 12 3 4 5 9:13 13
12 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
13 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)