Sport Picks

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Tigres Futbol Club vs Leones

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Rodriguez Cespedes C.
31'
Mosquera K.
40'
Montoya S.

AI Match Summary

Leones in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tigres Futbol Club
39%
Draws
30%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Tigres Futbol Club and Leones on recent form.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 24%
Leones Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres Futbol Club Leones
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Leones
0:1
Jan 26, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:0
Aug 11, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:1
Mar 3, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Leones
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Leones
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Leones Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Cespedes C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres Futbol Club 33 / 100
Leones 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres Futbol Club Leones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tigres Futbol Club scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Leones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Tigres Futbol Club has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigres Futbol Club VS Leones
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres Futbol Club

(Home)
24 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Leones
21 Jul
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
19 May
Inter Palmira
2 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
14 May
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 2
Envigado
10 May
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Quindio
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Leones

(Away)
24 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Leones
29 May
Leones
1 : 1
Ind. Medellin
16 May
Cucuta
0 : 0
Leones
12 May
Leones
2 : 0
Orsomarso
08 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
4 : 1
Leones
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cartagena11005:13
2Patriotas11003:13
3Leones11001:03
4Bogota11001:03
5Boca Juniors de Cali11001:03
6Orsomarso11001:03
7Envigado00000:00
8Real Cundinamarca00000:00
9Atletico F.C.00000:00
10Ind. Yumbo00000:00
11Quindio10010:10
12Tigres Futbol Club10010:10
13Union Magdalena10010:10
14Barranquilla10010:10
15Inter Palmira10011:30
16Real Santander10011:50
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)