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Tigres UANL U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL U21 host Cruz Azul U21 in the Liga MX U21. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Cruz Azul U21 have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Tigres UANL U21 have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Tigres UANL U21 have won 1 to Cruz Azul U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (2.00 - 1.38) back Cruz Azul U21 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tigres UANL U21
15%
Draws
28%
Cruz Azul U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tigres UANL U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruz Azul U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tigres UANL U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tigres UANL U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL U21 Cruz Azul U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.24 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL U21 84 / 100
Cruz Azul U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL U21 Cruz Azul U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tigres UANL U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Cruz Azul U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Cruz Azul U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL U21 VS Cruz Azul U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL U21

(Home)
31 Oct
Pachuca U21
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U21
24 Oct
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
20 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
3 : 1
Club Leon U21
17 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 5
Tigres UANL U21
09 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 2
Toluca U21
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Cruz Azul U21

(Away)
01 Nov
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
25 Oct
Queretaro U21
5 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
21 Oct
Pachuca U21
3 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
17 Oct
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
11 Oct
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 15 15 0 0 36:10 41
2 Club Leon U21 15 12 0 3 27:19 31
3 Club America U21 15 8 0 7 22:19 25
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 15 8 0 7 23:25 25
5 Puebla U21 14 8 0 6 19:15 24
6 Club Tijuana U21 14 8 0 6 20:21 24
7 Monterrey U21 14 8 0 6 31:22 23
8 UNAM Pumas U21 15 6 0 9 17:19 23
9 Atletico San Luis U21 15 8 0 7 30:31 22
10 Necaxa U21 15 8 0 7 17:20 22
11 Juarez U21 15 7 0 8 17:19 21
12 Santos Laguna U21 15 7 0 8 17:20 21
13 Atlante U21 15 7 0 8 23:28 21
14 Pachuca U21 15 5 0 10 18:23 20
15 Atlas U21 15 4 0 11 18:24 16
16 Tigres UANL U21 15 5 0 10 20:27 16
17 Cruz Azul U21 15 6 0 9 23:29 15
18 Queretaro U21 14 3 0 11 21:28 9
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)