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Tigres UANL U21 vs Mazatlan FC U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL U21 play Mazatlan FC U21 in the Liga MX U21. Tigres UANL U21 are favorites here. Recently, Tigres UANL U21 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Mazatlan FC U21 averaged 0.25 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Tigres UANL U21 won 2, Mazatlan FC U21 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Tigres UANL U21 and 0.81 for Mazatlan FC U21. This points to a Tigres UANL U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tigres UANL U21
6%
Draws
4%
Mazatlan FC U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tigres UANL U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tigres UANL U21 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mazatlan FC U21.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tigres UANL U21.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga MX U21 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Tigres UANL U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Mazatlan FC U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL U21 Mazatlan FC U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 2 0
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs Mazatlan FC U21
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga MX U21
Mazatlan FC U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galvan I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mazatlan FC U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL U21 95 / 100
Mazatlan FC U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL U21 Mazatlan FC U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres UANL U21 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Mazatlan FC U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tigres UANL U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mazatlan FC U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL U21 VS Mazatlan FC U21
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America U2117120532:2032
2Guadalajara Chivas U2117100726:1932
3Juarez U2117110623:1832
4Monterrey U2117110627:2530
5Pachuca U211790830:1829
6Toluca U211790832:2229
7Atlas U2117100721:2329
8UNAM Pumas U2117110623:2628
9Club Leon U211790818:1627
10Necaxa U2117100723:2526
11Tigres UANL U211780920:1824
12Atletico San Luis U211780925:2424
13Club Tijuana U2117601128:2322
14Cruz Azul U2117701017:2122
15Puebla U2117501217:2220
16Queretaro U211780920:2720
17Santos Laguna U2117501216:2520
18Mazatlan FC U211740135:3113