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Tigres UANL vs Club Leon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Diaz I.
46'
Vegas S.
58'
Sub
Herrera O. In: Aguirre R.
Out: Herrera O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Tigres UANL and Club Leon finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tigres UANL
35%
Draws
32%
Club Leon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Club Leon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 20%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL Club Leon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Club Leon
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Tigres UANL
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Club Leon
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Tigres UANL
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Club Leon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cambindo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL 31 / 100
Club Leon 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL Club Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres UANL scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Club Leon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tigres UANL went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL VS Club Leon
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL

(Home)
17 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 1
Tigres UANL
10 Oct
Tigres UANL
3 : 2
Toluca
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 7

Club Leon

(Away)
18 Oct
Club Leon
3 : 5
Club America
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 11 7 3 1 27:14 24
2 Toluca 12 6 3 3 26:16 21
3 Atlas 12 6 3 3 19:18 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas 12 5 5 2 19:12 20
5 Cruz Azul 12 6 2 4 27:21 20
6 Queretaro 11 6 2 3 15:13 20
7 Club Leon 12 5 3 4 18:17 18
8 Monterrey 11 5 2 4 19:16 17
9 Santos Laguna 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
10 Club Tijuana 11 4 4 3 15:14 16
11 UNAM Pumas 12 4 4 4 19:20 16
12 Puebla 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
13 Tigres UANL 12 3 5 4 14:16 14
14 Pachuca 12 3 4 5 19:16 13
15 Atletico San Luis 12 3 4 5 16:21 13
16 Atlante 12 2 5 5 13:19 11
17 Necaxa 12 2 3 7 15:25 9
18 Juarez 12 1 1 10 8:31 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)