Sport Picks
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas
Mexico
Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Universitario 
AI Match Summary
Tigres UANL play Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tigres UANL averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Guadalajara Chivas averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Tigres UANL won 2, Guadalajara Chivas won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Tigres UANL and 1.25 for Guadalajara Chivas. This points to a Guadalajara Chivas double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guadalajara Chivas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tigres UANL.
- Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Tigres UANL.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga MX 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tigres UANL | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tigres UANL Compare
Guadalajara Chivas Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tigres UANL scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Guadalajara Chivas let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Tigres UANL went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Guadalajara Chivas lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | 12 |