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Stadium Background

Tigres UANL vs Puebla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Organista A.
46'
Sub
Vigon J. In: Araujo C.
Out: Vigon J.
46'
Sub
Baltazar C. In: Villa O.
Out: Baltazar C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Tigres UANL and Puebla finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres UANL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tigres UANL
35%
Draws
26%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres UANL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tigres UANL come out ahead of Puebla on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tigres UANL's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 68%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL Puebla
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.39 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Puebla
1:0
Mar 5, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs Tigres UANL
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Puebla
7:0
Apr 5, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Tigres UANL
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Puebla
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL 50 / 100
Puebla 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Tigres UANL scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Tigres UANL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL VS Puebla
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL

(Home)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1
Necaxa
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 7

Puebla

(Away)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)