Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 game between Tijarafe and Lanzarote finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tijarafe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- Lanzarote carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lanzarote a 26% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lanzarote have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tijarafe Clean Sheet 20%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tijarafe | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 12 |
| Losses | 22 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.47 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Tijarafe
3:2
Aug 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Lanzarote
0:1
Jan 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Lanzarote
1:1
Sep 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Tijarafe
2:1
May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Tijarafe
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tijarafe 24 / 100
Lanzarote 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tijarafe Lanzarote
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tijarafe's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Lanzarote has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Tijarafe has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lanzarote
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tijarafe
(Home) 19 May
Tijarafe
3 : 0 Vecindario
12 May
Estrella
5 : 1 Tijarafe
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0 UD Gomera
28 Apr
Las Zocas
4 : 0 Tijarafe
20 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 3 San Isidro
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19 May
Tijarafe
3 : 0 Vecindario
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0 UD Gomera
20 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 3 San Isidro
06 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2 Vera CD
23 Mar
Tijarafe
2 : 4 Union Viera
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Lanzarote
(Away) 06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1 Lanzarote
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1 UD San Fernando
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03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1 Lanzarote
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0 Lanzarote
28 Mar
Las Palmas C
2 : 0 Lanzarote
14 Mar
Panaderia
1 : 1 Lanzarote
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Marino | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 77:35 | 76 |
| 2 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 60:41 | 72 |
| 3 | Las Palmas B | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 68:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Vera CD | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 68:40 | 70 |
| 5 | Lanzarote | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:34 | 69 |
| 6 | Atletico Granadilla | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 55:37 | 65 |
| 7 | Estrella | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 47:34 | 63 |
| 8 | Tenerife B | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 70:53 | 59 |
| 9 | Corralejo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 10 | Telde | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 55:52 | 54 |
| 11 | San Pedro Martir | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 50:59 | 47 |
| 12 | UD San Andres y Sauces | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:65 | 46 |
| 13 | Mensajero | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 54:63 | 45 |
| 14 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 56:66 | 45 |
| 15 | Atletico Victoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45:62 | 45 |
| 16 | Las Zocas | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:60 | 41 |
| 17 | Tijarafe | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 39:67 | 38 |
| 18 | CD Laguna | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 35:55 | 37 |
| 19 | Real Sporting San Jose | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 36:68 | 32 |
| 20 | CD Charco Del Pino | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 36:78 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
