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Tijarafe vs UD Gomera

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 game between Tijarafe and UD Gomera finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tijarafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tijarafe
15%
Draws
28%
UD Gomera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tijarafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Tijarafe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tijarafe a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tijarafe Clean Sheet 16%
UD Gomera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tijarafe UD Gomera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 22 24
Goals Scored 0.97 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs UD Gomera
1:0
Dec 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Gomera vs Tijarafe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tijarafe 57 / 100
UD Gomera 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tijarafe UD Gomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tijarafe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UD Gomera conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Tijarafe found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Away concern: UD Gomera has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tijarafe VS UD Gomera
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tijarafe

(Home)
19 May
Tijarafe
3 : 0
Vecindario
12 May
Estrella
5 : 1
Tijarafe
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0
UD Gomera
28 Apr
Las Zocas
4 : 0
Tijarafe
20 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 3
San Isidro
Page 1 of 6

UD Gomera

(Away)
18 May
Tenerife B
2 : 0
UD Gomera
12 May
UD Gomera
0 : 2
Atletico Granadilla
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0
UD Gomera
28 Apr
UD Gomera
2 : 1
Atletico Victoria
21 Apr
Mensajero
6 : 0
UD Gomera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 38 26 7 5 90:27 85
2 Atletico Granadilla 38 24 8 6 64:33 80
3 Estrella 38 24 5 9 66:30 77
4 Union Viera 38 22 9 7 82:49 75
5 Mensajero 38 22 8 8 80:37 74
6 Tenerife B 38 17 12 9 63:40 63
7 Vecindario 38 16 12 10 49:38 60
8 Corralejo 38 16 8 14 43:41 56
9 Las Zocas 38 16 8 14 42:56 56
10 Villa Santa Brigida 38 16 6 16 55:59 54
11 Telde 38 15 9 14 47:56 54
12 Ibarra 38 15 7 16 52:45 52
13 SD Tenisca 38 14 9 15 46:62 51
14 Lanzarote 38 13 10 15 59:58 49
15 Atletico Victoria 38 13 6 19 41:49 45
16 Vera CD 38 12 6 20 43:75 42
17 San Isidro 38 8 9 21 38:57 33
18 San Pedro Martir 38 5 9 24 21:43 24
19 Tijarafe 38 5 3 30 31:92 18
20 UD Gomera 38 3 5 30 30:95 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)