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Tikves vs Bashkimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tikves host Bashkimi in the 1. MFL. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Tikves at 1.93 goals for, 1.75 against; Bashkimi at 1.1 for, 1.83 against. Head-to-head, Tikves have won 2 to Bashkimi's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:5. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.19, favoring Tikves. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Tikves
35%
Draws
27%
Bashkimi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tikves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Tikves have won more games recently than Bashkimi.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Tikves taking it.
  • Regular 1. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tikves Clean Sheet 20%
Bashkimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tikves Bashkimi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Tikves
0:5
Apr 2, 2026 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Tikves
2:2
Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Bashkimi vs Tikves
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs Bashkimi
3:0
Aug 25, 2025 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Tikves
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tikves 49 / 100
Bashkimi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tikves Bashkimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tikves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Tikves stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tikves's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bashkimi let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tikves VS Bashkimi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tikves

(Home)
02 Oct
Rabotnicki
1 : 1
Tikves
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
Page 1 of 6

Bashkimi

(Away)
04 Oct
Gjilani
3 : 0
Bashkimi
27 Sept
Drita
1 : 1
Bashkimi
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
09 Sept
BVK Konjare
0 : 5
Bashkimi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)