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Tikves vs Bregalnica Stip - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tikves host Bregalnica Stip in the 1. MFL. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Bregalnica Stip have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Tikves have conceded 1.61 and scored 2.33. Head-to-head, Tikves have won 3 to Bregalnica Stip's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.31) point toward Bregalnica Stip. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tikves
35%
Draws
28%
Bregalnica Stip
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tikves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bregalnica Stip come out ahead of Tikves on wins alone.
  • Tikves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tikves Clean Sheet 18%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tikves Bregalnica Stip
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 14 21
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.33 2.76
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Bregalnica Stip vs Tikves
2:1
Mar 10, 2024 1. MFL
Tikves vs Bregalnica Stip
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 1. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Tikves
2:1
Sep 24, 2023 1. MFL
Tikves vs Bregalnica Stip
2:1
Jul 17, 2023 Club Friendly
Tikves vs Bregalnica Stip
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tikves 85 / 100
Bregalnica Stip 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tikves Bregalnica Stip

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tikves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tikves has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Tikves scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bregalnica Stip has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tikves VS Bregalnica Stip
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tikves

(Home)
06 Oct
Krosu Sport Bitola
0 : 13
Tikves
02 Oct
Rabotnicki
1 : 1
Tikves
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
Page 1 of 7

Bregalnica Stip

(Away)
23 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
1 : 0
FK Skopje
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
09 Sept
Teteks
1 : 4
Bregalnica Stip
04 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)