Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tikves vs KF Gostivar

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2024/2025 Gradski Stadion Kavadarci, Kavadarci
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sadik B.
(Penalty)
20'
Erwin L.
24'
Diatta A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2024/2025 game between Tikves and KF Gostivar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tikves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Tikves
35%
Draws
0%
KF Gostivar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tikves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tikves come out ahead of KF Gostivar on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Tikves taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tikves Clean Sheet 68%
KF Gostivar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tikves KF Gostivar
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs KF Gostivar
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Tikves
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 1. MFL
Tikves vs KF Gostivar
0:0
Aug 4, 2024 Club Friendly
KF Gostivar vs Tikves
2:1
Jul 4, 2024 Club Friendly
KF Gostivar vs Tikves
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tikves Compare

Top Goalscorer Varelovski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

KF Gostivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovski I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tikves 95 / 100
KF Gostivar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tikves KF Gostivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tikves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tikves has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: KF Gostivar registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tikves scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: KF Gostivar conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tikves VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tikves

(Home)
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
21 Aug
FK Skopje
1 : 1
Tikves
Page 1 of 7

KF Gostivar

(Away)
18 May
Vardar
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
07 May
Sileks
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Rabotnicki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 33 20 10 3 59:30 70
2 Sileks 33 19 10 4 57:19 67
3 Rabotnicki 33 15 11 7 38:21 56
4 Struga 33 13 12 8 41:37 51
5 Vardar 33 12 9 12 39:37 45
6 Pelister 33 10 9 14 26:38 39
7 Shkupi 33 10 8 15 47:47 38
8 Tikves 33 7 13 13 25:33 34
9 Brera Strumica 33 9 7 17 41:56 34
10 Besa 1976 33 9 6 18 34:53 33
11 KF Gostivar 33 12 12 9 36:34 21
12 Voska Sport 33 5 7 21 25:63 -5
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Main)