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Stadium Background

Tikves vs Vardar

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Tikves Logo

Tikves

1 - 1
FT
Vardar Logo

Vardar

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Camara F.
20'
Todorovski D.
22' Event
Fall I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. MFL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tikves
35%
Draws
36%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vardar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vardar lately — more wins on the board than Tikves.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Tikves taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tikves Clean Sheet 68%
Vardar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tikves Vardar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.31 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 1. MFL
Tikves vs Vardar
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 1. MFL
Vardar vs Tikves
7:0
Nov 9, 2025 1. MFL
Vardar vs Tikves
3:1
Aug 15, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs Vardar
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 1. MFL
Vardar vs Tikves
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tikves Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vardar Compare

Top Goalscorer Omeragic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tikves 86 / 100
Vardar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tikves Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tikves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Tikves went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tikves found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Vardar has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tikves VS Vardar
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tikves

(Home)
06 Oct
Krosu Sport Bitola
0 : 13
Tikves
02 Oct
Rabotnicki
1 : 1
Tikves
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
Page 1 of 6

Vardar

(Away)
19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)