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Tilbury vs Grays

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Antoine I.
35' Event
Hayes J.
55' Event
Antoine I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Tilbury and Grays finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tilbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Tilbury
15%
Draws
26%
Grays
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tilbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Tilbury's 1.72 goals per match outpaces what Grays have produced (1.66).
  • Model gives Tilbury a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tilbury Clean Sheet 13%
Grays Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tilbury Grays
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 1 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Tilbury vs Grays
3:1
Sep 29, 2013 FA Cup
Grays vs Tilbury
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tilbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Antoine I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hayes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Grays Compare

Top Goalscorer Osei Bobie T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tilbury 84 / 100
Grays 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tilbury Grays

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tilbury Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Tilbury scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Grays has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Tilbury has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tilbury VS Grays
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tilbury

(Home)
29 Aug
Tilbury
0 : 1
Hertford Town
31 Jul
Aveley
4 : 5
Tilbury
15 Nov
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0
Tilbury
25 Oct
Tilbury
1 : 0
Hadley
04 Oct
Chertsey Town
1 : 2
Tilbury
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Grays

(Away)
08 Sept
Leiston
5 : 0
Grays
05 Sept
Grays
0 : 0
Leiston
29 Aug
Canvey Island
4 : 1
Grays
04 Oct
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Grays
20 Sept
Grays
2 : 0
Felixstowe & Walton
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