Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

AO Trikala

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tilikratis Lefkada play AO Trikala in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tilikratis Lefkada averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1 conceded. AO Trikala averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. In past meetings, Tilikratis Lefkada won 1, AO Trikala won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.50 for Tilikratis Lefkada and 1.31 for AO Trikala. This points to a AO Trikala double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Tilikratis Lefkada

35%

Draws

34%

AO Trikala

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AO Trikala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Tilikratis Lefkada picked up more points recently compared to AO Trikala.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.50 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 18%

AO Trikala Clean Sheet 23%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tilikratis Lefkada	AO Trikala
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	11
Draws	11	13
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	1.07	1.2
Goals Conceded	1	0.73
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Tilikratis Lefkada vs AO Trikala

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Feb 15, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Tilikratis Lefkada vs AO Trikala

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Nov 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

AO Trikala vs Tilikratis Lefkada

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Feb 8, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

AO Trikala vs Tilikratis Lefkada

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Oct 20, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

Tilikratis Lefkada vs AO Trikala

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tilikratis Lefkada 32 / 100

AO Trikala 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tilikratis Lefkada AO Trikala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AO Trikala or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +37.5%

6.25

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tilikratis Lefkada attacking → ← attacking AO Trikala

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tilikratis Lefkada scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

AO Trikala let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Tilikratis Lefkada went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AO Trikala lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 46

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elassona	24	11	10	3	31:19	43
2	Aris Filiaton	24	12	7	5	33:19	43
3	AO Trikala	24	11	10	3	35:18	43
4	Asteras Stavrou	24	11	7	6	36:28	40
5	Lamia	24	9	12	3	36:17	39
6	Tilikratis Lefkada	24	9	8	7	25:22	35
7	Anagennisi Arta	24	9	8	7	26:21	35
8	Lefkimmi	24	10	3	11	31:31	33
9	Anagennisi Schimatariou	24	9	5	10	25:24	32
10	Anthoupoli	24	7	6	11	21:29	27
11	Nea Selefkia	24	5	11	8	25:27	26
12	Proodos Rogon	23	4	6	13	30:40	18
13	Thesprotos	23	1	1	21	6:65	1