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Tilikratis Lefkada vs Elassona Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Tilikratis Lefkada and Elassona finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tilikratis Lefkada
30%
Draws
33%
Elassona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tilikratis Lefkada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elassona come out ahead of Tilikratis Lefkada on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tilikratis Lefkada's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 68%
Elassona Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tilikratis Lefkada Elassona
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Tilikratis Lefkada
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Elassona
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Tilikratis Lefkada
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 Greek Cup
Elassona vs Tilikratis Lefkada
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tilikratis Lefkada 59 / 100
Elassona 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tilikratis Lefkada Elassona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tilikratis Lefkada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tilikratis Lefkada's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Tilikratis Lefkada remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Elassona let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tilikratis Lefkada VS Elassona
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tilikratis Lefkada

(Home)
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
28 Mar
Tilikratis Lefkada
1 : 1
AO Trikala
Page 1 of 6

Elassona

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)