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Tilikratis Lefkada vs Panagriniakos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tilikratis Lefkada host Panagriniakos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Panagriniakos have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Tilikratis Lefkada have conceded 0.84 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Tilikratis Lefkada slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2023, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.38 - 0.94) back Tilikratis Lefkada to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Tilikratis Lefkada
15%
Draws
26%
Panagriniakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tilikratis Lefkada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Panagriniakos haven't matched Tilikratis Lefkada's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tilikratis Lefkada's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tilikratis Lefkada here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 20%
Panagriniakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tilikratis Lefkada Panagriniakos
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Panagriniakos
4:1
Dec 11, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Panagriniakos vs Tilikratis Lefkada
0:3
Sep 14, 2022 Club Friendly
Panagriniakos vs Tilikratis Lefkada
1:2
Feb 20, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Panagriniakos vs Tilikratis Lefkada
2:0
Nov 28, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Panagriniakos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tilikratis Lefkada 85 / 100
Panagriniakos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tilikratis Lefkada Panagriniakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tilikratis Lefkada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tilikratis Lefkada found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Panagriniakos has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tilikratis Lefkada has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tilikratis Lefkada VS Panagriniakos
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tilikratis Lefkada

(Home)
04 Oct
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Agios Matthaios
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
Page 1 of 7

Panagriniakos

(Away)
04 Oct
Panagriniakos
0 : 5
Panachaiki
26 Sept
Preveza
2 : 0
Panagriniakos
27 Aug
Panagriniakos
1 : 2
Pamisos
30 Apr
Panagriniakos
6 : 3
AO Trikala
23 Apr
Asteras Petriti
2 : 1
Panagriniakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atromitos Patras 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Preveza 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Panegialios FC 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 Plataria 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Panachaiki 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
6 Aris Filiaton 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Tilikratis Lefkada 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Agios Matthaios 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Pallixouriakos 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Lefkimmi 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
11 Panagriniakos 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
12 Levante 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Losers stage)