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Tiller vs Surnadal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kvande S. H.
57' Event
Jetne T.
80'
Zahl-Johansen M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tiller
6%
Draws
90%
Surnadal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tiller haven't matched Surnadal's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Surnadal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiller Surnadal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 3
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 4 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Surnadal
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Tiller
2:3
Oct 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Surnadal vs Tiller
2:0
May 4, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Surnadal
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Jetne T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvande S. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiller 10 / 100
Surnadal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiller Surnadal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tiller scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Tiller stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiller VS Surnadal
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
4 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 63%