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Tiller vs Surnadal Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kvande S. H.
57' Event
Jetne T.
80'
Zahl-Johansen M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tiller
30%
Draws
58%
Surnadal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tiller haven't matched Surnadal's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Surnadal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiller Surnadal
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 1 3
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 18
Goals Scored 1.27 1.36
Goals Conceded 3.37 3.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Surnadal
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Tiller
2:3
Oct 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Surnadal vs Tiller
2:0
May 4, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Surnadal
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Jetne T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvande S. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiller 10 / 100
Surnadal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiller Surnadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Surnadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tiller scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Tiller stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiller VS Surnadal
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
4 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiller

(Home)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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Surnadal

(Away)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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