Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tiller vs Trygg/Lade

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Vollan M.
39' Event
Smith D.
58' Event
Vollan M.

AI Match Summary

Trygg/Lade in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trygg/Lade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tiller
30%
Draws
58%
Trygg/Lade
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trygg/Lade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Trygg/Lade have won more games recently than Tiller.
  • Trygg/Lade are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tiller Clean Sheet 19%
Trygg/Lade Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiller Trygg/Lade
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 1 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.78
Goals Conceded 3.37 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Trygg/Lade vs Tiller
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
1:3
Aug 24, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Trygg/Lade vs Tiller
1:2
May 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
0:2
Oct 1, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Trygg/Lade Compare

Top Goalscorer Vollan M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Selnes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiller 10 / 100
Trygg/Lade 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiller Trygg/Lade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trygg/Lade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiller's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Trygg/Lade let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Tiller went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trygg/Lade
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiller

(Home)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
Page 1 of 6

Trygg/Lade

(Away)
06 Sept
Trygg/Lade
2 : 3
Honefoss
30 Aug
Trygg/Lade
1 : 1
Skeid
22 Aug
Tynset
0 : 3
Trygg/Lade
16 Aug
Ull/Kisa
1 : 1
Trygg/Lade
08 Aug
Trygg/Lade
0 : 1
Grorud
Page 1 of 8