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Timocanin vs FK Moravac Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2019/2020
Sun, May 3, 2020
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Timocanin host FK Moravac in the Srpska Liga - East 2019/2020. Timocanin go into this one as the clear favorite. Timocanin have averaged 1.81 scored and 1.78 conceded recently, against FK Moravac's 0.97 scored and 4.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Timocanin have won 2 to FK Moravac's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 19, 2021, ending 10:2. xG projections (1.10 - 1.94) back Timocanin to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Timocanin
15%
Draws
0%
FK Moravac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timocanin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Timocanin have won more games recently than FK Moravac.
  • Model gives Timocanin a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Timocanin Clean Sheet 10%
FK Moravac Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timocanin FK Moravac
Matches Played 37 33
Wins 14 4
Draws 3 0
Losses 20 29
Goals Scored 1.81 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.78 4.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2021 Srpska Liga - East
Timocanin vs FK Moravac
10:2
Nov 7, 2020 Srpska Liga - East
FK Moravac vs Timocanin
0:1
May 3, 2020 Srpska Liga - East
Timocanin vs FK Moravac
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 Srpska Liga - East
FK Moravac vs Timocanin
1:1
May 28, 2016 Srpska Liga - East
FK Moravac vs Timocanin
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timocanin 83 / 100
FK Moravac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timocanin FK Moravac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timocanin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Moravac conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Difficult form: FK Moravac registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Timocanin found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

Timocanin VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Timocanin

(Home)
03 Oct
Timocanin
2 : 1
Radnicki Svilajnac
26 Sept
Jedinstvo Krusevac
3 : 0
Timocanin
21 Sept
Timocanin
0 : 1
Brzi Brod
12 Sept
Rembas
0 : 0
Timocanin
05 Sept
Timocanin
1 : 0
Malosiste
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FK Moravac

(Away)
06 Jun
FK Moravac
3 : 6
Zupa
30 May
Rembas
3 : 0
FK Moravac
22 May
FK Moravac
0 : 9
Radan Lebane
19 May
Timocanin
10 : 2
FK Moravac
15 May
FK Moravac
2 : 7
Medosevac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jagodina 17 12 3 2 32:11 39
2 Buducnost Popovac 17 9 7 1 27:6 34
3 Sindjelic 17 10 3 4 27:15 33
4 Toplicanin 17 9 4 4 23:14 31
5 SFS Borac 17 8 6 3 23:14 30
6 Vlasina 17 7 8 2 28:16 29
7 Timocanin 17 7 6 4 22:17 27
8 Radan Lebane 17 7 4 6 29:18 25
9 FK Moravac 17 7 3 7 21:22 24
10 Dunav Prahovo 17 6 5 6 21:17 23
11 Car Konstantin 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
12 Dubocica 17 6 4 7 22:22 19
13 Rembas 17 3 6 8 24:31 15
14 Jedinstvo Bosnjace 17 4 2 11 15:29 14
15 Trstenik 17 1 1 15 15:46 4
16 Temnic 17 1 0 16 9:52 3
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)