Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Timon EC (MA) vs Tupan

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. This leg finished 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Timon EC (MA)
35%
Draws
25%
Tupan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Timon EC (MA)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Timon EC (MA) have won more games recently than Tupan.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Timon EC (MA) taking it.
  • Timon EC (MA) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Timon EC (MA), who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Timon EC (MA) Clean Sheet 68%
Tupan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timon EC (MA) Tupan
Matches Played 20 19
Wins 6 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Maranhense 2
Timon EC (MA) vs Tupan
5:1
Jul 11, 2026 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Timon EC (MA)
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timon EC (MA) 95 / 100
Tupan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timon EC (MA) Tupan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timon EC (MA) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: Timon EC (MA) remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Timon EC (MA) scored in 55% of their last 20 games.

Scoring Trends

Timon EC (MA) VS Tupan
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Timon EC (MA)

(Home)
22 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
1 : 1
Araioses
18 Jul
Araioses
1 : 0
Timon EC (MA)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
27 Jun
Timon EC (MA)
0 : 0
Cordino EC
Page 1 of 4

Tupan

(Away)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Pinheiro 2
Sao Luis 1
Expressinho 2
Lago Verde 6
Cordino EC 1
Araioses 3
Tupan 1
Timon EC (MA) 6
Semi-finals
Pinheiro 2
Lago Verde 4
Araioses 2
Timon EC (MA) 1
Final
Lago Verde 1
Araioses 2