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Timor-Leste U17 vs Bahrain U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahrain U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Timor-Leste U17
15%
Draws
51%
Bahrain U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahrain U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Timor-Leste U17 haven't matched Bahrain U17's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bahrain U17 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Bahrain U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahrain U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Timor-Leste U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Bahrain U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U17 Bahrain U17
Matches Played 9 17
Wins 4 8
Draws 1 1
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.22 1.47
Goals Conceded 3.11 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
Timor-Leste U17 vs Bahrain U17
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U17 10 / 100
Bahrain U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U17 Bahrain U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahrain U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Timor-Leste U17 scored in 67% of their last 9 outings.

Bahrain U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Timor-Leste U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U17 VS Bahrain U17
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U17

(Home)
30 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
2 : 1
Sri Lanka U17
28 Nov
Brunei U17
0 : 2
Timor-Leste U17
26 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
0 : 3
Bahrain U17
24 Nov
China U17
14 : 0
Timor-Leste U17
22 Nov
Bangladesh U17
5 : 0
Timor-Leste U17
Page 1 of 2

Bahrain U17

(Away)
30 Nov
Bahrain U17
10 : 0
Brunei U17
28 Nov
Bangladesh U17
2 : 1
Bahrain U17
26 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
0 : 3
Bahrain U17
24 Nov
Bahrain U17
2 : 1
Sri Lanka U17
22 Nov
Bahrain U17
0 : 4
China U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 5 5 0 0 42:0 15
2 Bangladesh U17 5 4 0 1 20:5 12
3 Bahrain U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
4 Timor-Leste U17 5 2 0 3 4:23 6
5 Sri Lanka U17 5 1 0 4 6:17 3
6 Brunei U17 5 0 0 5 0:36 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Laos U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
3 Pakistan U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
5 Cambodia U17 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Guam U17 5 0 0 5 1:43 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 5 5 0 0 30:0 15
2 Malaysia U17 5 4 0 1 21:5 12
3 Hong Kong U17 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
4 Singapore U17 5 1 2 2 5:11 5
5 Macau U17 5 1 1 3 3:12 4
6 Northern Mariana Islands U17 5 0 0 5 1:35 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U17 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 Iran U17 4 2 1 1 10:4 7
3 Lebanon U17 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
5 Chinese Taipei U17 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Iraq U17 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
5 Philippines U17 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 4 3 0 1 16:4 9
2 Turkmenistan U17 4 3 0 1 15:5 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
4 Mongolia U17 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 1:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U17 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Oman U17 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Syria U17 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
4 Afghanistan U17 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U17 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)