Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta

Timor-Leste U20

1 - 3

Indonesia U20

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Raven J.

16'

Afrisal R.

66'

Figo L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Indonesia U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Timor-Leste U20

20%

Draws

46%

Indonesia U20

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Indonesia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Indonesia U20 lately — more wins on the board than Timor-Leste U20.
Indonesia U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Indonesia U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Indonesia U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 75%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Timor-Leste U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Indonesia U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Timor-Leste U20	Indonesia U20
Matches Played	6	31
Wins	2	8
Draws	0	7
Losses	4	16
Goals Scored	1.33	1.19
Goals Conceded	2.67	1.32
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20

Timor-Leste U20 vs Indonesia U20

1:3

Sep 14, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U20

Indonesia U20 vs Timor-Leste U20

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Figo L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.6

Indonesia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Raven J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Afrisal R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U20 10 / 100

Indonesia U20 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Timor-Leste U20 Indonesia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U20 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timor-Leste U20 scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Indonesia U20 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Timor-Leste U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U20 VS Indonesia U20

2 Goals Scored 1.25

2.33 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 63%

100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U20

(Home)

29 Sept

Timor-Leste U20

4 : 1

Maldives U20

27 Sept

Timor-Leste U20

1 : 3

Indonesia U20

25 Sept

Yemen U20

3 : 1

Timor-Leste U20

18 Sept

Hong Kong U20

1 : 2

Timor-Leste U20

16 Sept

Timor-Leste U20

0 : 4

Vietnam U20

Page 1 of 2

Indonesia U20

(Away)

06 Sept

Australia U20

0 : 2

Indonesia U20

03 Sept

Laos U20

0 : 3

Indonesia U20

31 Aug

Indonesia U20

0 : 0

Malaysia U20

22 Aug

Indonesia U20

1 : 2

Iraq U20

21 Aug

Indonesia U20

0 : 0

United Arab Emirates U20

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