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Timor-Leste U22 vs Philippines U22

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U22 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Timor-Leste U22 in this AFF Championship U22 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Timor-Leste U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Timor-Leste U22
15%
Draws
42%
Philippines U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timor-Leste U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Timor-Leste U22 lately — more wins on the board than Philippines U22.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Timor-Leste U22 Clean Sheet 20%
Philippines U22 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U22 Philippines U22
Matches Played 14 20
Wins 4 3
Draws 0 2
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.93 0.6
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U22 vs Philippines U22
3:0
Feb 21, 2019 ASEAN Championship U23
Timor-Leste U22 vs Philippines U22
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U22 32 / 100
Philippines U22 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U22 Philippines U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philippines U22 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Philippines U22 conceded in 85% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Philippines U22 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Timor-Leste U22 scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U22 VS Philippines U22
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U22

(Home)
06 Dec
Singapore U22
1 : 3
Timor-Leste U22
03 Dec
Timor-Leste U22
1 : 6
Thailand U22
07 May
Timor-Leste U22
0 : 3
Indonesia U22
04 May
Timor-Leste U22
3 : 0
Philippines U22
02 May
Myanmar U22
1 : 0
Timor-Leste U22
Page 1 of 3

Philippines U22

(Away)
18 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 2
Malaysia U22
15 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Philippines U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
05 Dec
Myanmar U22
0 : 2
Philippines U22
10 May
Philippines U22
0 : 1
Myanmar U22
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U22 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Thailand U22 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
3 Timor-Leste U22 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
4 Philippines U22 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U22 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFF Championship U22 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambodia U22 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
2 Indonesia U22 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Malaysia U22 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Myanmar U22 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - AFF Championship U22 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFF Championship U22 2019 (Play Offs)