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Timor-Leste U23 vs Australia U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Paull N.
27' Event
Blair N.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Grimaldi M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-6. The second leg ended 0-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Timor-Leste U23
20%
Draws
51%
Australia U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Australia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Timor-Leste U23 haven't matched Australia U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Timor-Leste U23's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Australia U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Australia U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U23 Australia U23
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 1.27 2.3
Goals Conceded 3.13 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Timor-Leste U23 vs Australia U23
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Australia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Paull N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Grimaldi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U23 42 / 100
Australia U23 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U23 Australia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Timor-Leste U23 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Australia U23 has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Timor-Leste U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U23 VS Australia U23
2.2 Goals Scored 1.63
3.2 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
80% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

Australia U23

(Away)
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0
Australia U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1
Thailand U23
09 Sept
Australia U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Turkmenistan U23 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Bhutan U23 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Kuwait U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Myanmar U23 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Singapore U23 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 20:0 7
2 China U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U23 3 0 0 3 0:30 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Palestine U23 3 1 0 2 7:4 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Lebanon U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Malaysia U23 3 1 0 2 8:3 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Oman U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 3 0 0 17:2 9
2 India U23 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:29 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 17:3 6
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Guam U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 5:1 4
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U23 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Philippines U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 0 2 4:2 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams