Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Timor-Leste U23 vs Vietnam U23

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U23 2022
Timor-Leste U23 Logo

Timor-Leste U23

Thu, Feb 24, 2022
0 - 1
12:30 PM
Vietnam U23 Logo

Vietnam U23

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Thinh Tran Quang
(Penalty)
1' Event
Filomeno Junior
(Penalty)
2' Event
Ho K. L.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Vietnam U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Timor-Leste U23
20%
Draws
40%
Vietnam U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vietnam U23 come out ahead of Timor-Leste U23 on wins alone.
  • Timor-Leste U23 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Vietnam U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam U23, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vietnam U23 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste U23 Vietnam U23
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.22
Goals Conceded 3.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
2:0
Feb 24, 2022 ASEAN Championship U23
Timor-Leste U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:1
Aug 15, 2017 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
4:0
Jul 19, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
4:0
Jun 7, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U23 76 / 100
Vietnam U23 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste U23 Vietnam U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Timor-Leste U23 scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Vietnam U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Vietnam U23 let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U23 VS Vietnam U23
3 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

Vietnam U23

(Away)
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Vietnam U23
1 : 1
Kuwait U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Laos U23 0
Thailand U23 2
Timor-Leste U23 0
Vietnam U23 1
Final
Thailand U23 0
Vietnam U23 1
Laos U23 -
Timor-Leste U23 -