Sport Picks
Timor-Leste vs Indonesia
Asia
ASEAN Championship Chonburi Daikin Stadium, Chonburi 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The ASEAN Championship game between Timor-Leste and Indonesia finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indonesia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Indonesia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Indonesia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Indonesia have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Timor-Leste | Indonesia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 22 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.73 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Timor-Leste Compare
Indonesia Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Timor-Leste scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Indonesia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 33 matches.
Timor-Leste has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Timor-Leste
(Home)Indonesia
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Singapore | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Cambodia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 5 | Timor-Leste | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:15 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 12 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Myanmar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 6 |
| 4 | Philippines | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Laos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:20 | 0 |
