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Timor-Leste vs Nepal

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Friendly International 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2022 game between Timor-Leste and Nepal finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Timor-Leste
15%
Draws
21%
Nepal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timor-Leste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nepal come out ahead of Timor-Leste on wins alone.
  • Nepal are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Timor-Leste Clean Sheet 20%
Nepal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste Nepal
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.83 0.74
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 Friendly International
Timor-Leste vs Nepal
2:2
Nov 5, 2016 AFC Solidarity Cup
Timor-Leste vs Nepal
0:0
Jul 2, 2011 World Championship
Timor-Leste vs Nepal
0:5
Jun 29, 2011 World Championship
Nepal vs Timor-Leste
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste 28 / 100
Nepal 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste Nepal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Timor-Leste scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Nepal let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Nepal registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste VS Nepal
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste

(Home)
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Singapore
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
24 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 7
Vietnam
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
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Nepal

(Away)
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1
Malaysia
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2
Nepal
14 Oct
Nepal
0 : 1
Vietnam
09 Oct
Vietnam
3 : 1
Nepal
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