Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Timor-Leste play Tajikistan in the Asian Cup. Tajikistan are favorites here. Recently, Timor-Leste averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Tajikistan averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Timor-Leste won 0, Tajikistan won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 18, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Timor-Leste and 1.00 for Tajikistan. This points to a Tajikistan double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Timor-Leste picked up more points recently compared to Tajikistan.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Timor-Leste | Tajikistan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.6 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Timor-Leste Compare
Tajikistan Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Timor-Leste scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Tajikistan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Timor-Leste went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Tajikistan lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tajikistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Philippines | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Maldives | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 4 | Timor-Leste | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Lebanon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Bhutan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Brunei | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:22 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Bangladesh | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 4 | India | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Sri Lanka | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:19 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syria | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 3 | Afghanistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Laos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Nepal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | 3 |