Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Cruz Z.
22'
22'
Mabatshoev S.
Assist: Umarbaev P.
25'
25'
Pandzhshanbe E.
Assist: Soirov R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-5. The second leg ended 0-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
20%
63%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tajikistan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tajikistan come out ahead of Timor-Leste on wins alone.
- 63% — that's where the model lands on Tajikistan taking it.
- Tajikistan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tajikistan, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Timor-Leste Clean Sheet 23%
Tajikistan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Timor-Leste | Tajikistan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.73 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2025 Asian Cup
Timor-Leste vs Tajikistan
0:5
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
Tajikistan vs Timor-Leste
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Timor-Leste Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Tajikistan Compare
Top Goalscorer Mabatshoev S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pandzhshanbe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Timor-Leste 10 / 100
Tajikistan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Timor-Leste Tajikistan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tajikistan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Timor-Leste's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Tajikistan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Timor-Leste stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Timor-Leste VS Tajikistan
1.13 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Timor-Leste
(Home) 03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0 Timor-Leste
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3 Indonesia
27 Jul
Singapore
2 : 0 Timor-Leste
24 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 7 Vietnam
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1 Brunei
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3 Indonesia
24 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 7 Vietnam
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1 Brunei
18 Nov
Timor-Leste
0 : 5 Tajikistan
09 Oct
Timor-Leste
1 : 4 Philippines
Page 1 of 3
Tajikistan
(Away) 09 Jun
Tajikistan
1 : 1 India
05 Jun
Tajikistan
3 : 1 India
31 Mar
Tajikistan
1 : 1 Philippines
18 Nov
Timor-Leste
0 : 5 Tajikistan
14 Oct
Maldives
0 : 3 Tajikistan
Page 1 of 6
18 Nov
Timor-Leste
0 : 5 Tajikistan
14 Oct
Maldives
0 : 3 Tajikistan
01 Sept
Afghanistan
0 : 2 Tajikistan
10 Jun
Philippines
2 : 2 Tajikistan
05 Jun
Cambodia
1 : 2 Tajikistan
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tajikistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Philippines | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Maldives | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 4 | Timor-Leste | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Lebanon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Bhutan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Brunei | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Bangladesh | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 4 | India | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Sri Lanka | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syria | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 3 | Afghanistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Laos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Nepal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
