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Timor-Leste vs Vietnam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Chonburi Daikin Stadium, Chonburi
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Match Events

7' Event
Hendrio
31' Event
Nguyen Dinh Bac
Assist: Nguyen Hoang Duc
41' Event
Hendrio

AI Match Summary

Vietnam in this ASEAN Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vietnam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Timor-Leste
20%
Draws
70%
Vietnam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vietnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Vietnam have won more games recently than Timor-Leste.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Vietnam taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Timor-Leste Clean Sheet 23%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste Vietnam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 25
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 2
Goals Scored 0.87 2.6
Goals Conceded 2.67 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Timor-Leste vs Vietnam
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Vietnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Dinh Bac
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hendrio
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste 10 / 100
Vietnam 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste Vietnam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vietnam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Timor-Leste scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Vietnam conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Timor-Leste went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste VS Vietnam
0.33 Goals Scored 2.88
3.17 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste

(Home)
30 Sept
Timor-Leste
2 : 2
Cambodia
24 Sept
Myanmar
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Singapore
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
Page 1 of 6

Vietnam

(Away)
05 Oct
Malaysia
1 : 0
Vietnam
02 Oct
Vietnam
4 : 2
Pakistan
29 Sept
Thailand
2 : 0
Vietnam
26 Sept
Vietnam
1 : 0
Philippines
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
2 Malaysia 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Myanmar 4 2 0 2 12:7 6
4 Philippines 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)