Sport Picks

Timor-Leste W vs Mongolia W Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia

Asian Cup Women

Timor-Leste W

3 - 1

Mongolia W

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Da Costa B.

Own Goal

29'

Fernandes V.

56'

da Conceicao M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Timor-Leste W

15%

Draws

85%

Mongolia W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mongolia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence

Mongolia W's 0.7 goals per match outpaces what Timor-Leste W have produced (0.33).
Timor-Leste W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Timor-Leste W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Timor-Leste W Clean Sheet 20%

Mongolia W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Timor-Leste W	Mongolia W
Matches Played	30	23
Wins	2	2
Draws	3	3
Losses	25	18
Goals Scored	0.33	0.7
Goals Conceded	5.1	6.78
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Asian Cup Women

Timor-Leste W vs Mongolia W

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader da Conceicao M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.6

Mongolia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste W 85 / 100

Mongolia W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Timor-Leste W Mongolia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mongolia W has conceded goals in 91% of their last 23 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Mongolia W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Timor-Leste W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste W VS Mongolia W

0.5 Goals Scored 0.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 8.38

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste W

(Home)

13 Jul

Cambodia W

3 : 1

Timor-Leste W

10 Jul

Timor-Leste W

0 : 2

Indonesia W

13 Aug

Australia U23 W

9 : 0

Timor-Leste W

10 Aug

Timor-Leste W

0 : 3

Myanmar W

07 Aug

Philippines W

7 : 0

Timor-Leste W

Page 1 of 6

Mongolia W

(Away)

05 Jul

Timor-Leste W

3 : 1

Mongolia W

02 Jul

Mongolia W

0 : 11

Thailand W

26 Jun

Iraq W

5 : 2

Mongolia W

23 Jun

Mongolia W

0 : 13

India W

04 Dec

Hong Kong W

6 : 0

Mongolia W

Page 1 of 5