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Timor-Leste W vs Thailand W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Peng-ngam S.
31' Event
Peng-ngam S.
45' Event
Peng-ngam S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Timor-Leste W
20%
Draws
80%
Thailand W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thailand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thailand W come out ahead of Timor-Leste W on wins alone.
  • Thailand W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Thailand W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Thailand W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Thailand W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Timor-Leste W Clean Sheet 20%
Thailand W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Timor-Leste W Thailand W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 0.33 3
Goals Conceded 5.1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2025 Asian Cup Women
Timor-Leste W vs Thailand W
0:4
Aug 19, 2019 ASEAN Championship Women
Thailand W vs Timor-Leste W
9:0
Jul 2, 2018 ASEAN Championship Women
Timor-Leste W vs Thailand W
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Timor-Leste W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Thailand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Peng-ngam S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Somnuek P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste W 10 / 100
Thailand W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Timor-Leste W Thailand W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Timor-Leste W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Thailand W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.

Thailand W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste W VS Thailand W
0.33 Goals Scored 2.5
4.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste W

(Home)
13 Jul
Cambodia W
3 : 1
Timor-Leste W
10 Jul
Timor-Leste W
0 : 2
Indonesia W
13 Aug
Australia U23 W
9 : 0
Timor-Leste W
10 Aug
Timor-Leste W
0 : 3
Myanmar W
07 Aug
Philippines W
7 : 0
Timor-Leste W
Page 1 of 6

Thailand W

(Away)
21 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 0
Thailand W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0
Thailand W
09 Jun
Myanmar W
1 : 1
Thailand W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran W 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
2 Jordan W 4 3 0 1 13:2 9
3 Bhutan W 4 2 0 2 6:13 6
4 Lebanon W 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 Singapore W 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India W 4 4 0 0 24:1 12
2 Thailand W 4 3 0 1 23:2 9
3 Timor-Leste W 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
4 Iraq W 4 1 1 2 5:14 4
5 Mongolia W 4 0 0 4 3:32 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Myanmar W 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
3 Bahrain W 3 0 1 2 2:15 1
4 Turkmenistan W 3 0 1 2 2:17 1
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei W 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Pakistan W 3 2 0 1 4:9 6
3 Indonesia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Kyrgyzstan W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 United Arab Emirates W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Guam W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Maldives W 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan W 3 2 1 0 20:3 7
2 Nepal W 3 2 1 0 20:3 7
3 Laos W 3 1 0 2 2:16 3
4 Sri Lanka W 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Philippines W 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Hong Kong W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Cambodia W 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Saudi Arabia W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 3 0 0 26:0 9
2 Malaysia W 3 2 0 1 2:6 6
3 Palestine W 3 1 0 2 3:11 3
4 Tajikistan W 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)