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Tindastoll vs Samherjar Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Gunnarsson H.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Rae L.
90' Event
Olafsson J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Tindastoll advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tindastoll
15%
Draws
21%
Samherjar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tindastoll

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tindastoll come out ahead of Samherjar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tindastoll a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Tindastoll have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tindastoll, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Tindastoll Clean Sheet 68%
Samherjar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tindastoll Samherjar
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 15 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.3 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll vs Samherjar
7:0
Jun 13, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll vs Samherjar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tindastoll Compare

Top Goalscorer Rae L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olafsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Samherjar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tindastoll 95 / 100
Samherjar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tindastoll Samherjar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tindastoll Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samherjar has conceded goals in 88% of their last 8 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Tindastoll scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Tindastoll has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tindastoll VS Samherjar
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tindastoll

(Home)
03 Apr
Tindastoll
0 : 1
Njardvik
29 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Magni
21 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Fjallabyggd
26 Sept
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Tindastoll
19 Sept
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Kormakur/Hvot
Page 1 of 6

Samherjar

(Away)
05 Apr
Tindastoll
7 : 0
Samherjar
01 Apr
Magni
4 : 0
Samherjar
22 Apr
Thor Akureyri
7 : 0
Samherjar
09 Apr
Hamrarnir
3 : 6
Samherjar
24 Apr
Dalvik/Reynir
7 : 1
Samherjar
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas 4
KM Reykjavik 1
SR Reykjavik 2
IBU 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir -
Skandinavia -
Kria 2
Hamar 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fjallabyggd 2
TBD -
Magni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 7
KB Breidholt 1
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 12
Smari 0
Njardvik 4
Arborg 1
Augnablik 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 4
Bjorninn 5
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Sindri 1
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
Vaengirs 3
KH Hlidarendi 1
KFB 1
Vidir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hviti 2
KFS 1
Selfoss 5
Snaefell 0
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 0
Kari 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Tindastoll 2
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Samherjar 3
Nokkvi 0
Haukar 3
Ellidi 1
Alftanes 0
Fram 4
Skallagrimur 0
Ymir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Asvellir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Berserkir 1
KFR 0
GG Grindavik 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 1
Alafoss 0
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Vestri 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Stokkseyri 3
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Lettir 1
Reynir 9
Throttur Vogar 2
Aegir 1
TBD -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji -
1/32-finals
Midas 0
SR Reykjavik 4
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir 6
Hamar 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Fjallabyggd 2
Magni 3
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 0
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 1
Arborg 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
Keflavik 5
Bjorninn 0
Grotta -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Fjardabyggd 1
Vaengirs 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Hviti 0
Selfoss 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Tindastoll 2
Samherjar 1
Haukar 1
Fram 2
Ymir 1
IR Reykjavik 4
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
GG Grindavik 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 3
Vestri 1
TBD -
Samherjar -
Volsungur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Stokkseyri 2
Reynir 8
Throttur Vogar 1
Olafsvik 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Einherji 1
1/16-finals
SR Reykjavik 0
Valur 3
Kordrengir 2
Akranes 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Afturelding 3
Arborg 0
Breidablik 3
Keflavik 2
Grotta 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Vaengirs 1
KR Reykjavik 8
Fjolnir 3
Selfoss 2
KA Akureyri 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 7
Tindastoll 0
Fram 3
IR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Fylkir 8
Throttur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Reynir 1
Olafsvik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 3
Leiknir Faskruds 0
1/8-finals
Valur 3
Akranes 1
Kopavogur 6
Afturelding 2
Breidablik 3
Grotta 0
KR Reykjavik 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Fram 2
Fylkir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Quarter-finals
Valur 2
Kopavogur 1
Breidablik 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Stjarnan 0
Semi-finals
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
Final
TBD -
TBD -