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Tindastoll vs Skallagrimur

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 2000
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tindastoll play Skallagrimur in the Division 1 2000. Tindastoll are favorites here. Recently, Tindastoll averaged 2.06 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. Skallagrimur averaged 1.77 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. In past meetings, Tindastoll won 1, Skallagrimur won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 9, 2000 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Tindastoll and 1.69 for Skallagrimur. This points to a Tindastoll double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tindastoll
15%
Draws
25%
Skallagrimur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tindastoll

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Tindastoll picked up more points recently compared to Skallagrimur.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 98%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Tindastoll Clean Sheet 13%
Skallagrimur Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 88%
Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tindastoll Skallagrimur
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 2.06 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.31 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2000 Division 1
Tindastoll vs Skallagrimur
3:4
Jul 11, 2000 Division 1
Skallagrimur vs Tindastoll
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tindastoll 57 / 100
Skallagrimur 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tindastoll Skallagrimur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tindastoll Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tindastoll & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7%
1.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tindastoll attacking → ← attacking Skallagrimur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tindastoll scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Skallagrimur let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Tindastoll went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Skallagrimur lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 21
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25