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Tindastoll W vs Valur W

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Women Sauðárkrókur, Sauðárkrókur
Sun, Mar 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Tindastoll W have averaged 1.42 scored and 2.96 conceded recently, against Valur W's 1.41 scored and 1.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Tindastoll W have won 0 to Valur W's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 2.94) back Valur W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tindastoll W
30%
Draws
37%
Valur W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tindastoll W haven't matched Valur W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Valur W a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Valur W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Valur W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tindastoll W Clean Sheet 10%
Valur W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tindastoll W Valur W
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.96 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 League Cup Women
Tindastoll W vs Valur W
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Tindastoll W
6:2
Jun 6, 2025 Besta deild Women
Tindastoll W vs Valur W
2:2
Mar 4, 2025 League Cup Women
Valur W vs Tindastoll W
5:0
Jul 24, 2024 Besta deild Women
Tindastoll W vs Valur W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tindastoll W 26 / 100
Valur W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tindastoll W Valur W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valur W conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Tindastoll W scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Tindastoll W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tindastoll W VS Valur W
0 Goals Scored 0.88
5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tindastoll W

(Home)
16 May
Tindastoll W
0 : 5
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
26 Apr
Tindastoll W
3 : 0
IR Reykjavik W
08 Feb
Tindastoll W
0 : 16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
11 Oct
Tindastoll W
5 : 2
FHL W
04 Oct
Fram W
3 : 3
Tindastoll W
Page 1 of 6

Valur W

(Away)
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Throttur W 5 4 0 1 21:11 12
2 Stjarnan W 5 3 1 1 25:8 10
3 Thor/KA W 5 3 0 2 18:10 9
4 Grindavik/Njardvik W 5 2 1 2 11:9 7
5 Hafnarfjordur W 5 2 0 3 18:10 6
6 FHL W 5 0 0 5 2:47 0
Promotion - League Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 4 3 0 1 19:5 9
2 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Valur W 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Fram W 4 1 1 2 3:13 4
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3 0 1 2 2:11 1
6 Tindastoll W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - League Cup Women (Play Offs)