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Tiquipaya vs San Martin de Yacuiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-3. This leg finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tiquipaya
30%
Draws
33%
San Martin de Yacuiba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tiquipaya lately — more wins on the board than San Martin de Yacuiba.
  • Win probability leans Tiquipaya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Tiquipaya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tiquipaya, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 16%
San Martin de Yacuiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiquipaya San Martin de Yacuiba
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 14 4
Draws 9 1
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.97 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs San Martin de Yacuiba
3:3
Oct 11, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Martin de Yacuiba vs Tiquipaya
4:0
Sep 12, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs San Martin de Yacuiba
5:0
Aug 30, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Martin de Yacuiba vs Tiquipaya
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiquipaya 84 / 100
San Martin de Yacuiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiquipaya San Martin de Yacuiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiquipaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Tiquipaya found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: San Martin de Yacuiba conceded in 63% of 8 recent games.

Solid form: Tiquipaya remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tiquipaya VS San Martin de Yacuiba
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiquipaya

(Home)
18 Oct
Tiquipaya
3 : 3
San Martin de Yacuiba
11 Oct
San Martin de Yacuiba
4 : 0
Tiquipaya
27 Sept
Virginia
1 : 1
Tiquipaya
19 Sept
Tiquipaya
6 : 0
Universitario Beni
12 Sept
Tiquipaya
5 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
Page 1 of 6

San Martin de Yacuiba

(Away)
18 Oct
Tiquipaya
3 : 3
San Martin de Yacuiba
11 Oct
San Martin de Yacuiba
4 : 0
Tiquipaya
27 Sept
San Martin de Yacuiba
4 : 1
Universitario Beni
20 Sept
Virginia
1 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
12 Sept
Tiquipaya
5 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independiente CBBA 3
Central Union 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 5
Mineros Potosi 6
26 de Febrero 2
Fatic 1
Tiquipaya 3
San Martin de Yacuiba 7
Em Huanuni 6
Atletico Sucre 4
San Juan FC 7
Chaco FC 2
Virginia 4
Wilstermann Cooperativas 2
1 de Mayo 0
Deportivo Tigres 3
Quarter-finals
Independiente CBBA -
Mineros Potosi -
26 de Febrero -
San Martin de Yacuiba -
Em Huanuni -
San Juan FC -
Virginia 0
Deportivo Tigres 2
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -