Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tiquipaya vs Universitario de Pando

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-1, with Tiquipaya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tiquipaya
6%
Draws
4%
Universitario de Pando
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tiquipaya come out ahead of Universitario de Pando on wins alone.
  • Tiquipaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tiquipaya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tiquipaya, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 20%
Universitario de Pando Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiquipaya Universitario de Pando
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 5.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 5.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Pando vs Tiquipaya
1:5
Aug 23, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs Universitario de Pando
6:1
Apr 20, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Pando vs Tiquipaya
4:0
Mar 15, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs Universitario de Pando
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiquipaya 85 / 100
Universitario de Pando 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiquipaya Universitario de Pando

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIQ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiquipaya's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Universitario de Pando let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Difficult form: Universitario de Pando registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiquipaya VS Universitario de Pando
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 5.17
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiquipaya

(Home)
08 Nov
Tiquipaya
1 : 0
1 de Mayo
01 Nov
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
Tiquipaya
25 Oct
Tiquipaya
4 : 1
CD Ingenio
11 Oct
CD Ingenio
3 : 3
Tiquipaya
28 Sept
Universitario de Pando
1 : 5
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 6

Universitario de Pando

(Away)
28 Sept
Universitario de Pando
1 : 5
Tiquipaya
20 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
8 : 0
Universitario de Pando
13 Sept
Pucarani
7 : 1
Universitario de Pando
06 Sept
Universitario de Pando
3 : 4
Municipal de Tarija
31 Aug
Universitario de Pando
0 : 1
Pucarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams