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Tirol vs Fortaleza B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Fortaleza B have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Tirol have conceded 1.19 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Tirol have won 1 to Fortaleza B's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 1, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.38) point toward Tirol. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tirol
35%
Draws
28%
Fortaleza B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tirol have won more games recently than Fortaleza B.
  • Win probability leans Tirol's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Tirol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tirol Clean Sheet 17%
Fortaleza B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirol Fortaleza B
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 11 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.03 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Fortaleza B vs Tirol
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirol 48 / 100
Fortaleza B 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirol Fortaleza B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fortaleza B conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.

Tirol's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Tirol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirol VS Fortaleza B
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirol

(Home)
31 Oct
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tirol
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Tirol
0 : 0
Ferroviario
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
16 May
Tirol
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 7

Fortaleza B

(Away)
01 Dec
Fortaleza B
1 : 2
Tirol
23 Nov
Fortaleza B
2 : 1
Ferroviario
15 Nov
Atletico Cearense
1 : 1
Fortaleza B
02 Nov
Itapipoca
2 : 2
Fortaleza B
25 Oct
Fortaleza B
0 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)