Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tirol vs Hartberg

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
Tirol Logo

Tirol

2 - 2
FT
Hartberg Logo

Hartberg

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lukic O.
44' Event
Hoffmann M.
Assist: Kainz T.
62'
Sub
Baden Frederiksen N. In: Hinterseer L.
Out: Baden Frederiksen N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga game between Tirol and Hartberg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tirol
20%
Draws
40%
Hartberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hartberg come out ahead of Tirol on wins alone.
  • Tirol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tirol Clean Sheet 19%
Hartberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirol Hartberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Hartberg
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Tirol
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Hartberg
4:2
May 17, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Tirol
3:2
Apr 5, 2025 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Hartberg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Hinterseer L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hartberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukic O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoffmann M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirol 40 / 100
Hartberg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirol Hartberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Tirol scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Hartberg has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Tirol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tirol VS Hartberg
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirol

(Home)
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
05 Sept
SV Leithaprodersdorf
0 : 4
Tirol
02 Sept
Austria Vienna
0 : 1
Tirol
28 Aug
A. Lustenau
0 : 4
Tirol
16 Aug
Tirol
0 : 3
Salzburg
Page 1 of 6

Hartberg

(Away)
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
06 Sept
Vorwarts Steyr
0 : 4
Hartberg
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
22 Aug
Altach
1 : 2
Hartberg
16 Aug
Hartberg
0 : 2
Austria Vienna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)