Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tirol vs Ried

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tirol host Ried in the Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Tirol have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Ried's 1.5 scored and 1.56 conceded. Past meetings favor Ried slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.63, favoring Ried. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tirol
20%
Draws
33%
Ried
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ried have won more games recently than Tirol.
  • Model gives Tirol a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tirol Clean Sheet 14%
Ried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirol Ried
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Ried
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Tirol
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Ried
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Bundesliga
Ried vs Tirol
2:0
Jan 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Tirol vs Ried
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirol 39 / 100
Ried 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirol Ried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tirol scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tirol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirol VS Ried
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirol

(Home)
18 Sept
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0
Tirol
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
05 Sept
SV Leithaprodersdorf
0 : 4
Tirol
02 Sept
Austria Vienna
0 : 1
Tirol
28 Aug
A. Lustenau
0 : 4
Tirol
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Ried

(Away)
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
14 Aug
LASK Linz
4 : 1
Ried
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 LASK Linz 6 5 0 1 16:4 15
3 Salzburg 6 4 2 0 15:4 14
4 Sturm Graz 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
5 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
6 Hartberg 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
7 Grazer AK 6 2 1 3 4:14 7
8 Austria Vienna 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
9 Wolfsberger AC 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
10 Ried 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
11 A. Lustenau 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
12 Altach 6 1 0 5 5:10 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)