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Tirol vs Salzburg Prediction & H2H Stats

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
Tirol Logo

Tirol

0 - 3
FT
Salzburg Logo

Salzburg

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Konate K.
Assist: Kratzig F.
17' Event
Kratzig F.
Assist: Vertessen Y.
21'
Gschosser R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Salzburg in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salzburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Tirol
20%
Draws
45%
Salzburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salzburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Salzburg have won more games recently than Tirol.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tirol Clean Sheet 10%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirol Salzburg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2.07 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Salzburg
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Bundesliga
Salzburg vs Tirol
2:3
Oct 30, 2025 OFB Cup
Salzburg vs Tirol
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Salzburg
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Bundesliga
Salzburg vs Tirol
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Salzburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Konate K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kratzig F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirol 30 / 100
Salzburg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirol Salzburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Tirol scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Salzburg let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Tirol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tirol VS Salzburg
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirol

(Home)
01 Oct
Regensburg
0 : 6
Tirol
24 Sept
FC Liefering
0 : 1
Tirol
18 Sept
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0
Tirol
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
05 Sept
SV Leithaprodersdorf
0 : 4
Tirol
Page 1 of 6

Salzburg

(Away)
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
02 Sept
Salzburg
5 : 1
Rapid Vienna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)